At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (13) and the Boston Bruins (14) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Toronto (48-30-10) has won three of the last four games in this series after their 2-1 victory at home on Thursday. Boston (50-23-15) has lost the last two games of this series after taking a 3-1 lead after Game Four. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Maple Leafs have survived because of great goaltending from Joseph Woll. Since taking over last in Game Four, he has stopped 54 of the 56 shots he has faced for a .964 save percentage. In his seven career games in the playoffs, Woll has a 1.78 Goals-Against-Average and a .933 save percentage. But Toronto’s scoring attack is still missing-in-action. They have only scored seven combined goals in their last four games — and they have not scored more than two goals in any of those games. Auston Matthews has not scored since Game Two as he battles an illness. While he should play tonight, he is not close to 100%. The Maple Leafs have scored only one time from their 20 power play opportunities in this series. Toronto has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in three straight games. They have played 23 of their last 38 games Under the Total after their last game finished Under the Total. Additionally, they have played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total after playing an Atlantic Division rival in their previous game — and they have played 17 of their last 23 road games Under the Total after playing a divisional rival three times in a row. Boston is struggling to score as well — they have only two combined goals in their last two games. The prospect of blowing another 3-1 series lead seems to have impacted this team because they looked tight and skittish on the ice in the last two games. The Bruins blew a 3-1 series lead in the first round last year against Florida. David Pastrnak scored 47 goals and added 63 assists in the regular season — but he has only two goals and two assists in this series. Boston is also getting great goaltending from Jeremy Swayman who has a 1.60 GAA and a .947 save percentage in his five starts. The Bruins have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal to an Atlantic Division rival. They have also played 26 of their last 43 games Under the Total when playing for the third time in five days. 

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total. 25* NHL 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (13) and the Boston Bruins (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Denver Nuggets (530) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (529) in Game One of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Denver (61-26) has won five of their last six games after their 108-106 victory against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 6.5-point favorite on Monday. Minnesota (60-26) has won four games in a row after completing their four-game sweep against the Phoenix Suns with a 122-116 victory as a pick ‘em on Sunday. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE NUGGETS MINUS THE POINTS: Denver only made 31.4% of their shots from behind the arc in their series against the Lakers. They shoot 38.4% from 3-point land when playing at home — and they converted on 39% of their 3s in the playoffs against the Timberwolves last year. The Nuggets have only covered the point spread once in their last four games — but they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. They have covered the point spread in 30 of their last 48 games at home after winning three of their last four games. And in their last 17 games when playing with three or more days of rest, Denver has covered the point spread in 11 of these contests. Minnesota controlled the offensive glass against the Suns — they grabbed 36% of their missed shots in that series. But the Timberwolves pulled down only 21.6% of their missed shots against the Nuggets in their playoff series last year. Minnesota had it easy against Phoenix — but this is now a big step up in competition. As it is, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after winning four or more games in a row. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a win by six points or less.

FINAL TAKE: Denver won the series in five games against the Timberwolves last season — and the Nuggets have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 opening games to a new playoff series when their starting five is healthy. 10* NBA Minnesota-Denver TNT Special with the Denver Nuggets (530) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (529). Best of luck for us — Frank.